The Relationship of Qualitative Choice Model and International Migration, Employment and Mobile Telephone Subscriptions: A Study Within the EU Candidate Countries

Abstract

Due to globalization, migration has become an issue that affects the entire world. Therefore, almost all countries in the world are affected by migration. The century we are in can be called the 'age of migration' in response to the increase in international migration. In general, the main reasons for people's emigration are economic, social, political, but basically it is the desire to get a better job, better working conditions, in short, the dream of living better. Considering the 2002-2020 annual time frame for the countries of Turkey, Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina and North Macedonia, which are in the category of candidate countries for the European Union (EU) membership, this study, which investigates the effect of labor force participation and mobile phone subscriptions on international migration, will be estimated by panel logit and panel probit models, which are panel qualitative preference models. When the panel logit model prediction results were taken into consideration, it was concluded that the labor force and mobile phone subscription variables were significant in explaining migration. An increase in the labor force that may occur, increases the likelihood of an increase in migration by about 6 times. However, although the mobile phone subscription variable was found to be significant in explaining migration, it was concluded that the increase in the number of mobile users reduced the probability of an increase in the migration variable by 2.04 times.